Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 52.304325 59.666943 67.294706 75.756241 84.849530 94.299259 104.832861
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 42.038177 52.562435 64.050819 77.394274 92.342120 108.456555 127.028562
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 34.491517 46.446589 60.043001 76.384253 95.238772 116.080338 140.634050
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 28.753797 41.531168 56.621509 75.313257 97.427780 122.383031 152.306825
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 24.812748 38.231830 54.627308 75.472576 100.659825 129.566869 164.723056
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.603450 35.451026 52.925813 75.682714 103.702656 136.339904 176.518564
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 19.120511 33.325749 51.802229 76.392034 107.176939 143.497476 188.677410
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 16.367542 30.522440 49.553683 75.472240 108.484927 147.945124 197.544637
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 14.777120 29.186002 49.099402 76.727617 112.399408 155.471466 210.044618
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.495533 28.161174 48.959361 78.308527 116.666710 163.398529 223.023611
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.616844 26.013732 47.102945 77.484552 117.774893 167.381209 231.191923
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.652975 23.488065 44.519668 75.519567 117.283253 169.284710 236.753085
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 9.191818 23.441451 45.551256 78.543531 123.362856 179.496882 252.650655
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.472661 22.867998 45.752268 80.390752 127.896876 187.792670 266.239782
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.163034 21.061557 43.958937 79.332015 128.500139 191.066723 273.578307
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.009471 19.370891 42.215538 78.238931 128.976489 194.122556 280.607640
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.233759 18.306502 41.383313 78.401567 131.107517 199.274720 290.253638
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.553922 17.332297 40.624210 78.616807 133.274219 204.454674 299.932848
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.029601 16.612687 40.233834 79.343058 136.123220 210.514206 310.733179
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.322142 15.328305 38.787309 78.401285 136.600540 213.442338 317.538307
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.991966 14.906833 38.809916 79.686636 140.192057 220.465377 329.584660
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.732848 14.623660 39.054968 81.305029 144.254549 228.122082 342.467294
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.223996 13.536102 37.763500 80.461554 144.778063 231.064328 349.285061